YouGov poll of 26 November 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 1,632
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU37.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-2.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Oct 2020.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,632 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Nov 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Oct 2020, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Linke 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.9average 7.1
- Grüne -0.8average 18.8
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 36.4
- AfD +0.4average 9.6
- FDP -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU245
- Grüne119
- SPD100
- AfD66
- Linke60
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.