YouGov poll of 6 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Dec 2020 to 5 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,588
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Nov 2020.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,588 people were surveyed from 30 Dec 2020 to 5 Jan 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Nov 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.2average 7.8
- Grüne -0.9average 18.9
- SPD -0.9average 15.9
- AfD +0.4average 9.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 36.3
- FDP -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- Grüne121
- SPD101
- AfD67
- Linke60
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.