YouGov poll of 4 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jan 2021 to 1 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 1,606
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Jan 2021.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,606 people were surveyed from 29 Jan 2021 to 1 Feb 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Jan 2021, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Linke 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.6average 7.4
- Grüne -1.1average 19.1
- AfD +0.7average 9.3
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 36.4
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- Grüne119
- SPD100
- AfD66
- Linke60
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.