YouGov poll of 26 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 1,619
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU33.0%-3.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 4 Feb 2021.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,619 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Feb 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 4 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 34.7
- AfD +1.3average 9.7
- Grüne -1.0average 19.0
- Linke +0.7average 7.3
- FDP +0.2average 7.8
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- Grüne120
- SPD107
- AfD74
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.