YouGov poll of 1 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,637
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-6.0
- Grüne21.0%+3.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+2.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Feb 2021.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,637 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 6.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 22.2
- SPD +0.6average 16.4
- FDP +0.4average 9.6
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne140
- SPD114
- AfD74
- FDP67
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.