YouGov poll of 30 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 1,643
- Method
- Online
- Grüne25.0%+4.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-3.0
- SPD14.0%-3.0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 1 Apr 2021.
In this poll YouGov has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,643 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 1 Apr 2021, Grüne gains 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 26.1
- SPD -0.8average 14.8
- Linke +0.8average 7.2
- Grüne +0.7average 24.3
- FDP +0.4average 10.6
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne169
- CDU/CSU163
- SPD95
- FDP75
- AfD74
- Linke54
- Grüne + CDU/CSU332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke318 of 630
- Grüne + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.