YouGov poll of 27 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,705
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+2.0
- Grüne22.0%-3.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Apr 2021.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,705 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Apr 2021, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 24.1
- FDP +0.7average 11.3
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 25.4
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Linke +0.2average 6.8
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne149
- SPD102
- FDP81
- AfD75
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.