YouGov poll of 2 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,648
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+4.0
- Grüne19.0%-3.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 May 2021.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,648 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 May 2021, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 20.5
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 28.8
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
- Linke -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- Grüne129
- SPD102
- FDP75
- AfD74
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.