YouGov poll of 30 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,748
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-3.0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 2 Jul 2021.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,748 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 2 Jul 2021, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 3.7 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.7average 19.7
- AfD +1.5average 10.5
- Linke +1.1average 6.9
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
- FDP +0.1average 11.9
- CDU/CSU ±0average 28.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD110
- Grüne109
- FDP82
- AfD82
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne411 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.