YouGov poll of 27 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,689
- Method
- Online
- SPD24.0%+8.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%-6.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Jul 2021.
In this poll YouGov has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,689 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Jul 2021, SPD gains 8.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 6.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 3.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.1average 20.9
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 24.0
- Grüne -2.0average 18.0
- FDP +1.3average 11.7
- Linke +1.1average 6.9
- AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD161
- CDU/CSU147
- Grüne107
- FDP87
- AfD74
- Linke54
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne415 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP395 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD382 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke362 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD328 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.