YouGov poll of 3 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 31 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,729
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-2.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Aug 2021.
In this poll YouGov has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,729 people were surveyed from 27 to 31 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower and Grüne 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 22.4
- Grüne -2.4average 17.4
- SPD +1.4average 23.6
- Linke +1.4average 6.6
- FDP +1.1average 11.9
- AfD +1.1average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD169
- CDU/CSU136
- Grüne102
- FDP88
- AfD81
- Linke54
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne407 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP393 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD386 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.