YouGov poll of 10 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,700
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%-3.0
- Linke6.0%-2.0
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Sep 2021.
In this poll YouGov has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,700 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Sep 2021, FDP loses 3.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has FDP 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.8average 11.8
- Grüne -1.4average 16.4
- AfD +0.7average 11.3
- SPD +0.4average 25.6
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 21.2
- Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD182
- CDU/CSU147
- Grüne105
- AfD84
- FDP70
- Linke42
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD371 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.