YouGov poll of 16 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 14 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,816
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others7.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Sep 2021.
In this poll YouGov has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,816 people were surveyed from 9 to 14 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Sep 2021, Linke gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Linke 1.8 points higher and FDP 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.8average 6.2
- FDP -1.7average 11.7
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 21.3
- Grüne -1.2average 16.2
- SPD -0.7average 25.7
- AfD -0.2average 11.2
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD177
- CDU/CSU141
- Grüne106
- AfD78
- FDP71
- Linke57
- SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP354 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.