YouGov poll of 23 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 2,364
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 16 Sep 2021.
In this poll YouGov has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,364 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 16 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 16.0
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 22.2
- AfD +1.1average 10.9
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 3.0
- SPD -0.6average 25.6
- Linke +0.6average 6.4
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD175
- CDU/CSU147
- Grüne98
- AfD84
- FDP77
- Linke49
- SPD + CDU/CSU322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD357 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.