YouGov poll of 26 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 1,797
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU23.0%+2.0
- Grüne16.0%+2.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 23 Sep 2021.
In this poll YouGov has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,797 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 23 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has FDP 1.8 points lower and AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.8average 12.8
- AfD +1.5average 10.5
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 21.7
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 3.0
- Linke +0.9average 5.1
- SPD -0.8average 25.8
- Grüne -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD169
- CDU/CSU156
- Grüne108
- AfD81
- FDP75
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.