YouGov poll of 17 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,715
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%+2.0
- CDU/CSU23.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Nov 2021.
In this poll YouGov has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,715 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Nov 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has FDP 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -2.5average 12.5
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 21.6
- Linke +1.1average 4.9
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 3.0
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- Grüne +0.2average 15.8
- SPD ±0average 27.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD183
- CDU/CSU156
- Grüne108
- AfD74
- FDP68
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD338 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.