Single poll

YouGov poll of 28 January 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
21 to 25 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,602
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+3.0
  • SPD23.0%-4.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%-2.0
  • Linke8.0%+2.0
  • Freie Wähler2.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 17 Dec 2021.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,602 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Jan 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 17 Dec 2021, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 2.9 points higher and SPD 2.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.9average 23.1
  • SPD -2.8average 25.8
  • FDP -2.7average 10.7
  • Linke +2.4average 5.6
  • Grüne -1.1average 16.1
  • AfD +1.1average 10.9
  • Freie Wähler -1.0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 178 seatsSPD: 157 seatsGrüne: 103 seatsAfD: 82 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 55 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU178
  • SPD157
  • Grüne103
  • AfD82
  • FDP55
  • Linke55
  • CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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