Single poll

YouGov poll of 21 February 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
YouGov
Fieldwork period
10 to 15 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,659
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%-2.0
  • Grüne17.0%+2.0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler1.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Jan 2022.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,659 people were surveyed from 10 to 15 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Jan 2022, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 3.5 points lower and Freie Wähler 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -3.5average 24.5
  • Freie Wähler -2.0average 3.0
  • CDU/CSU +1.7average 25.3
  • Grüne +1.5average 15.5
  • FDP -0.9average 9.9
  • Linke +0.7average 6.3
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsSPD: 144 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsAfD: 75 seatsFDP: 62 seatsLinke: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • SPD144
  • Grüne116
  • AfD75
  • FDP62
  • Linke48
  • CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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