YouGov poll of 11 March 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 1,629
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- SPD23.0%+2.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 21 Feb 2022.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,629 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 21 Feb 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 2.2 points lower and Freie Wähler 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.2average 25.2
- Freie Wähler -2.0average 3.0
- AfD +0.8average 10.2
- FDP -0.8average 9.8
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 25.4
- Grüne -0.2average 16.2
- Linke +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- SPD159
- Grüne111
- AfD76
- FDP62
- Linke42
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.