YouGov poll of 3 April 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,615
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU34.0%+7.0
- Grüne18.0%-3.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-2.0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Mar 2020.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,615 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Mar 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 7.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 20.4
- AfD +1.4average 10.6
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 32.8
- Linke +1.0average 8.0
- SPD ±0average 16.0
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- Grüne119
- SPD106
- AfD80
- Linke60
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.