YouGov poll of 6 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Feb 2020 to 2 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 1,632
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 18 Dec 2019.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,632 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2020 to 2 Mar 2020, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 18 Dec 2019, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 22.8
- AfD +1.3average 12.7
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- Linke +0.6average 9.4
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 26.8
- FDP -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne142
- SPD101
- AfD95
- Linke68
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.