YouGov poll of 18 December 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 1,586
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Nov 2019.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,586 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Dec 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Nov 2019, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.3average 8.3
- Linke +1.2average 8.8
- AfD +0.9average 14.1
- SPD -0.8average 13.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- Grüne -0.3average 21.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne142
- AfD102
- SPD88
- Linke68
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.