Single poll

YouGov poll of 27 November 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
22 to 26 Nov 2019
Respondents
1,648
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • Grüne22.0%±0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Nov 2019.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,648 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Nov 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 6 Nov 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.4average 14.4
  • AfD +1.3average 13.7
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 27.1
  • FDP -1.1average 8.1
  • Linke +0.8average 9.2
  • Grüne +0.7average 21.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 176 seatsGrüne: 149 seatsAfD: 102 seatsSPD: 88 seatsLinke: 68 seatsFDP: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU176
  • Grüne149
  • AfD102
  • SPD88
  • Linke68
  • FDP47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
  • Grüne + AfD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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