YouGov poll of 6 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Oct 2019 to 5 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 1,583
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- AfD14.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Oct 2019.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,583 people were surveyed from 31 Oct 2019 to 5 Nov 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Oct 2019, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Linke 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.6average 8.4
- SPD -1.3average 14.3
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- FDP -0.6average 7.6
- Grüne +0.4average 21.6
- AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne149
- AfD95
- SPD88
- Linke68
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.