YouGov poll of 3 October 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Sep 2019 to 1 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 1,573
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne22.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%-2.0
- FDP8.0%+2.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 Sep 2019.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,573 people were surveyed from 27 Sep 2019 to 1 Oct 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 Sep 2019, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 27.3
- SPD -1.2average 14.2
- AfD +1.1average 13.9
- Grüne -1.0average 23.0
- FDP +0.4average 7.6
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne150
- AfD103
- SPD89
- FDP55
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD370 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.