YouGov poll of 11 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 1,632
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-2.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 31 Jul 2019.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,632 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Sep 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 31 Jul 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.2average 7.2
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 27.9
- Grüne -0.8average 22.8
- Linke +0.7average 7.3
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- AfD +0.2average 13.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne150
- SPD103
- AfD96
- Linke55
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.