YouGov poll of 31 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,594
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- Grüne24.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Jul 2019.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,594 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Jul 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Jul 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 27.3
- AfD +1.3average 12.7
- FDP -0.5average 8.5
- Grüne -0.4average 24.4
- SPD -0.4average 13.4
- Linke ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne163
- AfD95
- SPD88
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD359 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.