YouGov poll of 3 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jun 2019 to 2 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,644
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-3.0
- Grüne25.0%+7.0
- SPD13.0%-5.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 23 May 2019.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,644 people were surveyed from 28 Jun 2019 to 2 Jul 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 23 May 2019, Grüne gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.2average 8.2
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 26.9
- AfD +0.4average 12.6
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
- Grüne -0.1average 25.1
- SPD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- Grüne171
- SPD89
- AfD89
- Linke55
- FDP48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.