Single poll

YouGov poll of 23 May 2019 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
17 to 21 May 2019
Respondents
1,609
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • SPD18.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 May 2019.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,609 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 May 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 May 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.4average 16.6
  • AfD -1.2average 13.2
  • Grüne -0.7average 18.7
  • FDP -0.5average 8.5
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 29.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsSPD: 121 seatsGrüne: 121 seatsAfD: 80 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • SPD121
  • Grüne121
  • AfD80
  • Linke60
  • FDP54
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne436 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD395 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD395 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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