YouGov poll of 3 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 1,642
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Mar 2019.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,642 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Mar 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 18.9
- SPD +1.1average 16.9
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 28.5
- FDP +0.1average 8.9
- AfD ±0average 13.0
- Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD119
- Grüne113
- AfD86
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne424 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.