YouGov poll of 28 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,633
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Feb 2019.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,633 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Mar 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Feb 2019, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.4average 16.6
- Grüne -1.4average 18.4
- AfD -0.7average 12.7
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD119
- Grüne113
- AfD79
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.