Single poll
YouGov poll of 27 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 1,620
- Method
- Online
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,620 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Feb 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 31 Jan 2019, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.1average 16.9
- Grüne -1.0average 18.0
- Linke +0.5average 8.5
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- AfD +0.2average 12.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD118
- Grüne112
- AfD85
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne427 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
More
More polls
← YouGov, 31 Jan 2019YouGov, 28 Mar 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.