YouGov poll of 31 January 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 29 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,578
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke9.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Dec 2018.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,578 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 Jan 2019, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Dec 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 30.1
- Grüne -1.0average 19.0
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- AfD +0.4average 13.6
- Linke +0.1average 8.9
- SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- Grüne118
- SPD98
- AfD92
- Linke59
- FDP53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.