YouGov poll of 28 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,665
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+3.0
- Grüne18.0%-3.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Nov 2018.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,665 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Dec 2018, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 19.4
- Linke +1.3average 8.7
- SPD +1.1average 14.9
- FDP -0.4average 8.4
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 29.7
- AfD -0.2average 14.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- Grüne118
- SPD105
- AfD92
- Linke66
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.