YouGov poll of 28 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,580
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+2.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%-2.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 7 Nov 2018.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,580 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Nov 2018, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 7 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.0average 9.0
- Grüne +0.7average 20.3
- AfD -0.7average 14.7
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 27.3
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU177
- Grüne138
- SPD98
- AfD92
- Linke66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.