YouGov poll of 7 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Oct 2018 to 4 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,542
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%+7.0
- AfD16.0%-2.0
- SPD14.0%-3.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Sep 2018.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,542 people were surveyed from 28 Oct 2018 to 4 Nov 2018, method Online, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Sep 2018, Grüne gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.3average 18.7
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 26.4
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- FDP +0.7average 9.3
- AfD +0.2average 15.8
- Linke +0.2average 9.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU164
- Grüne138
- AfD105
- SPD92
- FDP66
- Linke65
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + AfD + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.