YouGov poll of 27 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 25 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,504
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Aug 2018.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,504 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Aug 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 1.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 16.3
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 28.6
- Linke +1.1average 9.9
- Grüne -0.7average 14.7
- SPD -0.5average 17.5
- FDP +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU177
- AfD118
- SPD112
- Grüne92
- Linke72
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP328 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.