YouGov poll of 7 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 31 May 2024 to 5 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,894
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- Grüne12.0%-2.0
- BSW9.0%+2.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 May 2024.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,894 people were surveyed from 31 May 2024 to 5 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 May 2024, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, BSW gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has BSW 2.8 points higher and SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.8average 6.2
- SPD -1.9average 15.9
- AfD +1.8average 16.2
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 30.6
- Grüne -1.3average 13.3
- FDP -1.1average 5.1
- Freie Wähler -0.9average 2.9
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- AfD138
- SPD108
- Grüne92
- BSW69
- CDU/CSU + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.