YouGov poll of 10 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 8 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,749
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+2.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 Apr 2024.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,749 people were surveyed from 3 to 8 May 2024, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 11 Apr 2024, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Freie Wähler 1.9 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -1.9average 2.9
- AfD +1.7average 17.3
- BSW +1.2average 5.8
- FDP -1.0average 5.0
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Grüne +0.2average 13.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD139
- SPD117
- Grüne103
- BSW51
- CDU/CSU + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.