YouGov poll of 11 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 10 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,588
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD19.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler1.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 7 Mar 2024.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,588 people were surveyed from 5 to 10 Apr 2024, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 7 Mar 2024, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 2.1 points lower and Freie Wähler 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.1average 16.1
- Freie Wähler -1.9average 2.9
- AfD +1.7average 17.3
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 30.3
- Grüne +1.2average 13.8
- BSW +1.0average 6.0
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD135
- Grüne106
- SPD99
- BSW50
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD410 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.