Single poll
YouGov poll of 7 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 5 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,762
- Method
- Online
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,762 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Mar 2024, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 8 Feb 2024, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Freie Wähler 1.8 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -1.8average 2.8
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 30.2
- FDP -0.9average 4.9
- Linke +0.9average 3.1
- BSW +0.7average 6.3
- Grüne +0.5average 13.5
- AfD +0.2average 18.8
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD142
- SPD113
- Grüne105
- BSW52
- CDU/CSU + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
More
More polls
← YouGov, 8 Feb 2024YouGov, 11 Apr 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.