YouGov poll of 28 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 28 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 1,585
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%-3.0
- AfD16.0%+2.0
- Grüne12.0%+2.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 25 Jan 2018.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,585 people were surveyed from 26 to 28 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 25 Jan 2018, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.1 points higher and Linke 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.1average 13.9
- Linke +1.8average 10.2
- SPD -1.3average 17.3
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 33.2
- FDP -1.1average 9.1
- Grüne -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD105
- AfD105
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.