YouGov poll of 25 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 23 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,566
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%-2.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- Grüne10.0%±0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Dec 2017.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,566 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Dec 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 32.7
- Linke +1.1average 9.9
- Grüne -1.0average 11.0
- FDP -0.9average 8.9
- AfD +0.8average 13.2
- SPD -0.7average 19.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- SPD125
- AfD92
- Linke72
- Grüne66
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.