Single poll

YouGov poll of 28 March 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
23 to 27 Mar 2018
Respondents
1,579
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+2.0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%-1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Feb 2018.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,579 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Feb 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 32.6
  • AfD +1.4average 13.6
  • FDP -1.4average 9.4
  • SPD -1.3average 18.3
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • Linke +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 223 seatsSPD: 112 seatsAfD: 98 seatsGrüne: 72 seatsLinke: 72 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU223
  • SPD112
  • AfD98
  • Grüne72
  • Linke72
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD321 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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