Single poll

YouGov poll of 25 April 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
20 to 24 Apr 2018
Respondents
1,573
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU32.0%-2.0
  • SPD18.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Mar 2018.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,573 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 28 Mar 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.2average 13.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 32.4
  • FDP -0.4average 9.4
  • SPD -0.3average 18.3
  • Grüne +0.1average 11.9
  • Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 118 seatsAfD: 98 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 66 seatsFDP: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD118
  • AfD98
  • Grüne79
  • Linke66
  • FDP59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.