Single poll

YouGov poll of 30 May 2018 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
25 to 29 May 2018
Respondents
1,556
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • AfD16.0%+1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 25 Apr 2018.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,556 people were surveyed from 25 to 29 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 25 Apr 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.1average 13.9
  • Grüne -1.2average 12.2
  • Linke +0.8average 10.2
  • SPD -0.6average 17.6
  • FDP +0.6average 8.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.2average 33.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 215 seatsSPD: 111 seatsAfD: 104 seatsGrüne: 71 seatsLinke: 71 seatsFDP: 58 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU215
  • SPD111
  • AfD104
  • Grüne71
  • Linke71
  • FDP58
  • CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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