YouGov poll of 27 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 1,525
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%-3.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 May 2018.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,525 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 May 2018, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 31.4
- SPD -1.4average 18.4
- AfD +1.2average 14.8
- FDP +1.2average 8.8
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- Grüne -0.2average 12.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD111
- AfD105
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- FDP66
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.