YouGov poll of 25 July 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 1,520
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Jun 2018.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,520 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 27 Jun 2018, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.2average 18.2
- AfD +1.2average 15.8
- Linke +1.0average 10.0
- Grüne -0.7average 12.7
- FDP +0.5average 8.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD112
- AfD111
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.