Single poll

YouGov poll of 17 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
11 to 15 Aug 2017
Respondents
1,538
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • SPD25.0%+1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Aug 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,538 people were surveyed from 11 to 15 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 10 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.7average 38.7
  • AfD +1.0average 8.0
  • SPD +0.8average 24.2
  • FDP +0.6average 8.4
  • Grüne -0.6average 7.6
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 243 seatsSPD: 164 seatsFDP: 59 seatsLinke: 59 seatsAfD: 59 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU243
  • SPD164
  • FDP59
  • Linke59
  • AfD59
  • Grüne46
  • CDU/CSU + SPD407 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.