Single poll

YouGov poll of 10 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND)
Fieldwork period
4 to 8 Aug 2017
Respondents
1,513
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
  • SPD24.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%+1.0
  • Grüne6.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Aug 2017.

In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,513 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RedaktionsNetzwerk Deutschland (RND).

Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 3 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.7average 7.7
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 39.0
  • AfD +0.9average 8.1
  • FDP +0.7average 8.3
  • SPD +0.2average 23.8
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 251 seatsSPD: 159 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 60 seatsGrüne: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU251
  • SPD159
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • AfD60
  • Grüne40
  • CDU/CSU + SPD410 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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